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Complexity and prediction VI: a model predicts the frequency and severity of interstate wars, ‘a profound mystery for which we have no explanation’

Hoca

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I spend a lot of time these days reading papers on prediction from different fields looking for connections between methods. This is an interesting paper: On the frequency and severity of interstate wars, 2019. ‘Lewis Fry Richardson argued that the frequency and severity of deadly conflicts of all kinds, from homicides to interstate wars and everything […]
 
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